Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.020725 0.022392 0.024129 0.026077 0.028200 0.030447 0.033006
2025-10-12 0.018069 0.020472 0.023111 0.026231 0.029824 0.033843 0.038689
2025-10-19 0.016270 0.019095 0.022321 0.026288 0.031053 0.036612 0.043620
2025-10-26 0.014897 0.017987 0.021627 0.026251 0.031999 0.038945 0.048029
2025-11-02 0.013813 0.017085 0.021046 0.026220 0.032844 0.041095 0.052241
2025-11-09 0.012720 0.016065 0.020209 0.025756 0.033044 0.042370 0.055332
2025-11-16 0.011785 0.015166 0.019442 0.025293 0.033162 0.043482 0.058205
2025-11-23 0.011124 0.014567 0.019007 0.025208 0.033735 0.045179 0.061918
2025-11-30 0.010495 0.013964 0.018519 0.025003 0.034103 0.046581 0.065263
2025-12-07 0.009958 0.013449 0.018110 0.024865 0.034531 0.048058 0.068765
2025-12-14 0.009449 0.012941 0.017677 0.024655 0.034825 0.049335 0.072018
2025-12-21 0.009069 0.012589 0.017437 0.024697 0.035466 0.051123 0.076111
2025-12-28 0.008638 0.012160 0.017085 0.024588 0.035926 0.052738 0.080159
2026-01-04 0.008307 0.011858 0.016903 0.024720 0.036754 0.054959 0.085316
2026-01-11 0.007979 0.011542 0.016680 0.024771 0.037452 0.057006 0.090316
2026-01-18 0.007655 0.011212 0.016415 0.024737 0.038003 0.058839 0.095067
2026-01-25 0.007356 0.010904 0.016166 0.024707 0.038548 0.060678 0.099931
2026-02-01 0.006978 0.010457 0.015680 0.024273 0.038410 0.061383 0.102884
2026-02-08 0.006627 0.010035 0.015212 0.023839 0.038240 0.062012 0.105726
2026-02-15 0.006382 0.009767 0.014971 0.023759 0.038647 0.063623 0.110398
2026-02-22 0.006129 0.009473 0.014673 0.023567 0.038848 0.064881 0.114500
2026-03-01 0.005904 0.009215 0.014423 0.023438 0.039144 0.066312 0.118999
2026-03-08 0.005679 0.008947 0.014142 0.023242 0.039307 0.067508 0.123123